
\begin{table}
\caption{Regression estimates of the association between prior foreign aid (using aid commitment volumes from AidData) and CPA implementation at the post-CPA year level, without control variables. Implementation scores range from 2 to 95. See text for detailed description of estimators.}
\begin{center}
\begin{scriptsize}
\begin{tabular}{l D{.}{.}{5.3} D{.}{.}{3.3} D{.}{.}{3.3}}
\toprule
 & \multicolumn{1}{c}{Within-Between random effects for post-conflict periods} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{Prais-Winsten FGLS with conflict-specific AR(1) autocorrelation and PCSEs} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{Country FE and robust SEs} \\
\midrule
AidData Foreign aid commitments (within effect)    & 6.67^{*}   &            &            \\
                                                   & (2.43)     &            &            \\
AidData Foreign aid commitments (between effect)   & 41.21^{*}  &            &            \\
                                                   & (18.27)    &            &            \\
AidData Foreign aid commitments (composite effect) &            & 7.20^{*}   & 6.68^{*}   \\
                                                   &            & (3.02)     & (2.82)     \\
Years since conflict (logged)                      & 15.43^{*}  & 15.86^{*}  & 16.15^{*}  \\
                                                   & (1.00)     & (0.74)     & (1.64)     \\
Transitional power sharing government              & 3.24       & -4.99      & 28.77^{*}  \\
                                                   & (10.54)    & (4.85)     & (7.32)     \\
Dispute resolution committee                       & 22.40^{*}  & 13.71^{*}  &            \\
                                                   & (10.22)    & (2.35)     &            \\
Female signatories                                 & 12.13      & 10.49^{*}  &            \\
                                                   & (18.53)    & (4.31)     &            \\
Conflict duration (logged)                         & 2.40       & 0.44       & -50.04^{*} \\
                                                   & (4.73)     & (2.05)     & (4.25)     \\
Battle deaths during conflict (logged)             & -1.92      & 0.65       &            \\
                                                   & (3.93)     & (1.27)     &            \\
Territorial conflict                               & -10.59     & -13.84     &            \\
                                                   & (14.79)    & (7.23)     &            \\
Years with mediation  (logged)                     & 0.93       & -3.25      & -61.75^{*} \\
                                                   & (11.27)    & (3.70)     & (5.82)     \\
New leader since CPA                               & -1.12      & -2.03      & -0.84      \\
                                                   & (1.96)     & (1.76)     & (2.37)     \\
Population (logged)                                & 2.08       & -4.43      & -4.89      \\
                                                   & (7.62)     & (3.53)     & (14.51)    \\
GDP (IHS transformation, lagged)                   & -13.70^{*} & 2.12       & -16.03^{*} \\
                                                   & (3.42)     & (3.09)     & (3.75)     \\
Economic growth                                    & 0.18       & 0.12       & 0.18       \\
                                                   & (0.10)     & (0.09)     & (0.09)     \\
Excluded population                                & 4.04       & -3.43      & 2.91       \\
                                                   & (4.62)     & (4.64)     & (5.35)     \\
Natural resources                                  & -17.47     & -6.89^{*}  &            \\
                                                   & (13.68)    & (2.48)     &            \\
Democracy                                          & 1.94       & 0.57       & 1.97       \\
                                                   & (2.17)     & (2.35)     & (2.42)     \\
GDP per capita before conflict (logged)            & 20.24^{*}  & 1.88       &            \\
                                                   & (6.64)     & (3.20)     &            \\
Civil war in neighboring country                   & -5.26^{*}  & -3.68^{*}  & -5.25^{*}  \\
                                                   & (1.47)     & (1.39)     & (1.90)     \\
Foreign policy similarity with US/UK/France        & -0.20      & 0.60       & -0.14      \\
                                                   & (2.78)     & (2.18)     & (2.99)     \\
Foreign policy similarity with China               & -1.30      & 1.08       & -1.50      \\
                                                   & (1.92)     & (1.74)     & (2.01)     \\
UN PKO personnel (logged)                          & 0.11       & 0.22       & 0.09       \\
                                                   & (0.24)     & (0.20)     & (0.30)     \\
Region fixed effects (baseline: East Asia)         &            &            &            \\
                                                   &            &            &            \\
\quad Europe & Central Asia                        & -6.11      & -7.09      &            \\
                                                   & (19.76)    & (4.99)     &            \\
\quad Latin America & Caribbean                    & -25.78     & -19.15^{*} &            \\
                                                   & (30.09)    & (5.11)     &            \\
\quad Middle East & North Africa                   & -40.92     & -23.82^{*} &            \\
                                                   & (25.62)    & (11.68)    &            \\
\quad South Asia                                   & 3.72       & -19.68^{*} &            \\
                                                   & (29.49)    & (9.10)     &            \\
\quad Sub-Saharan Africa                           & -6.63      & -7.69      &            \\
                                                   & (16.95)    & (5.49)     &            \\
Intercept                                          & 175.89     & 60.03^{*}  &            \\
                                                   & (90.91)    & (30.47)    &            \\
\midrule
AIC                                                & 2177.50    &            &            \\
BIC                                                & 2293.43    &            &            \\
Log Likelihood                                     & -1057.75   &            &            \\
Num. obs.                                          & 311        & 311        & 311        \\
Num. groups: pam\_caseid                           & 34         &            &            \\
Num. groups: pam\_year\_count                      & 10         &            &            \\
Var: pam\_caseid (Intercept)                       & 406.38     &            &            \\
Var: pam\_year\_count (Intercept)                  & 0.00       &            &            \\
Var: Residual                                      & 55.06      &            &            \\
R$^2$                                              &            & 0.83       & 0.90       \\
Num. groups                                        &            & 34         &            \\
Adj. R$^2$                                         &            &            & 0.89       \\
RMSE                                               &            &            & 7.41       \\
\bottomrule
\multicolumn{4}{l}{\tiny{Standard errors in parentheses. $^* p < 0.05$ (two-tailed test).}}
\end{tabular}
\end{scriptsize}
\label{tab:m_aidd_comm_r1}
\end{center}
\end{table}
